Adelaide City 2-1 Croydon Kings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.0pp
30%
Draw
22%
+8.0pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Croydon Kings EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -13%
1.71/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.73
-21% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Croydon Kings
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Adelaide City Adelaide City 4-0 HT 2-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
04.05.2024 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
11.08.2023 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
06.05.2023 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-1 HT 1-1 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
04.06.2022 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-0 HT 0-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
25.02.2022 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide City vs Croydon Kings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide City nicked a narrow win over Croydon Kings 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Adelaide City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Adelaide City and 0.50 for Croydon Kings.

What was the final score of Adelaide City vs Croydon Kings?

Adelaide City 2-1 Croydon Kings in the Australia - National Premier League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide City vs Croydon Kings?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Adelaide City 49%, draw 30%, Croydon Kings 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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