Adelaide City 4-0 Croydon Kings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

Adelaide City
4-0 HT 2-0
Croydon Kings
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Adelaide City vs Croydon Kings Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.7pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adelaide City v Croydon Kings — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Croydon Kings EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
2.01/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.72
+2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
325 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Adelaide City vs Croydon Kings Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Croydon Kings
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.05.2024 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
11.08.2023 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
06.05.2023 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-1 HT 1-1 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
04.06.2022 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-0 HT 0-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
25.02.2022 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
18.09.2021 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-1 HT 0-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide City vs Croydon Kings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide City ran out comfortable winners over Croydon Kings 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Adelaide City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Croydon Kings led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Adelaide City and 0.67 for Croydon Kings.

What was the final score of Adelaide City vs Croydon Kings?

Adelaide City 4-0 Croydon Kings in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide City vs Croydon Kings?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Adelaide City 48%, draw 23%, Croydon Kings 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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