NWS Spirit 6-3 Rockdale Ilinden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
45%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.23
Over 2.5
64%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.8pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.0pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+5.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
41%
-5.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
59%
+5.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.0pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.40/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.59
+20% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -36%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.8 Crosses 19.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NWS Spirit
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.07 xG 1.74
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
378 Passes 318
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 1-1 HT 1-1 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
06.07.2024 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 1-2 HT 1-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
31.03.2024 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 3-1 HT 1-1 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
13.08.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-0 HT 2-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
29.04.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 0-1 HT 0-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
POST-MATCH NWS Spirit vs Rockdale Ilinden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NWS Spirit swept aside Rockdale Ilinden 6-3. Half-time: 4-0. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rockdale Ilinden at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rockdale Ilinden led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for NWS Spirit and 1.80 for Rockdale Ilinden.

What was the final score of NWS Spirit vs Rockdale Ilinden?

NWS Spirit 6-3 Rockdale Ilinden in the Australia - National Premier League on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NWS Spirit vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split NWS Spirit 34%, draw 21%, Rockdale Ilinden 45%. The final score 6-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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