Atletico Goianiense 0-1 Criciuma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.17
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Criciuma EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.33/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.34
+42% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
25.7 Crosses 16.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Goianiense
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Criciuma
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.00 xG 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
295 Passes 309
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2024 Criciuma Criciuma 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
20.06.2024 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-2 HT 1-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR1
23.09.2023 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 3-1 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
03.06.2023 Criciuma Criciuma 3-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
21.09.2019 Criciuma Criciuma 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
18.05.2019 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 3-1 HT 1-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Goianiense
0-1
AWAY Criciuma
0.58 xG 0.47
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
318 Passes 243
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Criciuma edged past Atletico Goianiense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Goianiense at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Goianiense had 56% of the ball to Criciuma's 44%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.58 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Goianiense and 1.50 for Criciuma.

What was the final score of Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma?

Atletico Goianiense 0-1 Criciuma in the Brazil - Serie B on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Goianiense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atletico Goianiense 42%, draw 30%, Criciuma 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Goianiense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Goianiense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
19 Jul 2025
03:30 Ferroviaria vs Athletic Club Analysis →
22:00 Goias vs Cuiaba Analysis →