Goias 3-1 Cuiaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 19 Jul 2025

Goias
3-1 HT 1-0
Cuiaba
📅19/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.58
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.40/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.08
+21% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
21.2 Crosses 18.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cuiaba
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.72 xG 0.99
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
289 Passes 397
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.05.2024 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-0 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BRK
03.05.2024 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BRK
22.10.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-1 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BR1
05.06.2023 Goias Goias 0-1 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
30.03.2023 Goias Goias 2-0 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BRVK
27.03.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-0 HT 1-0 Goias Goias BRVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
3-1
AWAY Cuiaba
2.38 xG 0.78
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
335 Passes 183
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Goias vs Cuiaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias beat Cuiaba 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Goias as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Goias had 62% of the ball to Cuiaba's 38%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.38 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cuiaba led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Goias and 0.67 for Cuiaba.

What was the final score of Goias vs Cuiaba?

Goias 3-1 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie B on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs Cuiaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Goias 44%, draw 30%, Cuiaba 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goias) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Goias) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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