Busan Transportation 2-1 Gyeongju HNP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.3pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 46%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.31/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.13
+22% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan Transportation
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gyeongju HNP
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
30.03.2025 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-0 HT 1-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
07.07.2024 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
17.03.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-0 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
04.11.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 3-1 HT 2-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
09.06.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-2 HT 1-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
26.06.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 3-1 HT 1-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
POST-MATCH Busan Transportation vs Gyeongju HNP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan Transportation nicked a narrow win over Gyeongju HNP 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Busan Transportation made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gyeongju HNP led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Busan Transportation and 1.67 for Gyeongju HNP.

What was the final score of Busan Transportation vs Gyeongju HNP?

Busan Transportation 2-1 Gyeongju HNP in the South Kore - K3 League on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan Transportation vs Gyeongju HNP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Busan Transportation 31%, draw 28%, Gyeongju HNP 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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