Braunschweig 1-4 Holstein Kiel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
55%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
30%
2.56
6+ Goals
10%
5.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+3.7pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.1pp
55%
Away Win
57%
-1.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.9pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 61%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -72% / -72%
2.12/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+78% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -42%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braunschweig
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Holstein Kiel
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.96 xG 1.85
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
222 Passes 418
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2024 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-2 HT 1-1 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
30.07.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 0-1 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
17.02.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 2-3 HT 0-2 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
13.08.2022 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 3-0 HT 1-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
30.01.2021 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 3-1 HT 3-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
26.09.2020 Braunschweig Braunschweig 0-0 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
POST-MATCH Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstein Kiel swept aside Braunschweig 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Holstein Kiel as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holstein Kiel led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Braunschweig and 1.83 for Holstein Kiel.

What was the final score of Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel?

Braunschweig 1-4 Holstein Kiel in the Friendlies on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holstein Kiel win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Braunschweig 26%, draw 19%, Holstein Kiel 55%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holstein Kiel), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holstein Kiel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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