Gillingham 0-2 Luton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-4.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gillingham EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Luton Town EU Bookmakers 55%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.05/2.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/0.75
-16% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +63%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
250 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gillingham
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Luton Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.99 xG 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
221 Passes 463
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.08.2023 Luton Town Luton Town 3-2 HT 2-0 Gillingham Gillingham İNLK
16.03.2019 Luton Town Luton Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
24.11.2018 Gillingham Gillingham 1-3 HT 0-1 Luton Town Luton Town İN1
30.08.2016 Gillingham Gillingham 1-2 HT 0-2 Luton Town Luton Town İNTK
06.10.2015 Gillingham Gillingham 2-1 HT 0-1 Luton Town Luton Town İNTK
03.03.2009 Luton Town Luton Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
POST-MATCH Gillingham vs Luton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luton Town saw off Gillingham 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Luton Town as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luton Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gillingham and 1.83 for Luton Town.

What was the final score of Gillingham vs Luton Town?

Gillingham 0-2 Luton Town in the Friendlies on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Luton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 27%, draw 27%, Luton Town 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luton Town), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Luton Town) ✓ BTTS No
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