Yelimay Semey 1-2 Zhenys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
42%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
42%
Away Win
30%
+11.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhenys EU Bookmakers 34%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.16/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/0.40
-13% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yelimay Semey
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Zhenys
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
20.04.2025 Zhenys 0-1 HT 0-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
27.07.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 1-0 HT 0-0 Zhenys KAZP
04.05.2024 Zhenys 1-2 HT 0-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
POST-MATCH Yelimay Semey vs Zhenys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhenys squeezed past Yelimay Semey 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zhenys as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Yelimay Semey had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Yelimay Semey and 0.33 for Zhenys.

What was the final score of Yelimay Semey vs Zhenys?

Yelimay Semey 1-2 Zhenys in the Kazakistan - Super League on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yelimay Semey vs Zhenys?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zhenys win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Yelimay Semey 32%, draw 25%, Zhenys 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zhenys) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zhenys) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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