Cukaricki Stankom 1-0 Napredak Krusevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.78
Over 2.5
38%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.85
No
62%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
50%
-11.5pp
62%
BTTS No
50%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cukaricki Stankom EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.72/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.10
-15% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
19.7 Crosses 17.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cukaricki Stankom
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.28 xG 0.75
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
351 Passes 211
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-1 HT 0-1 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
08.03.2025 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 2-1 HT 2-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
18.10.2024 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 0-0 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
02.05.2024 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 2-0 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
01.03.2024 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 2-1 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
22.11.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-0 HT 1-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cukaricki Stankom
1-0
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
1.99 xG 0.53
73% Ball Possession 27%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 5
447 Passes 121
84% Pass Accuracy 63%
29 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cukaricki Stankom vs Napredak Krusevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cukaricki Stankom nicked a narrow win over Napredak Krusevac 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cukaricki Stankom as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Cukaricki Stankom had 73% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 27%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.99 to 0.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cukaricki Stankom's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cukaricki Stankom had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cukaricki Stankom and 0.67 for Napredak Krusevac.

What was the final score of Cukaricki Stankom vs Napredak Krusevac?

Cukaricki Stankom 1-0 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cukaricki Stankom vs Napredak Krusevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cukaricki Stankom win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cukaricki Stankom 44%, draw 27%, Napredak Krusevac 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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