Deportivo La Guaira 4-0 Rayo Zuliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
14%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
61%
+0.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
14%
Away Win
15%
-0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.4pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
1.70/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.54
+1% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 74%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
21.7 Crosses 16.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 1.61
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
287 Passes 304
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
12.10.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 3-2 HT 3-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
15.07.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 1-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VENK
14.04.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 2-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
08.03.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira CON CSA
08.07.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
4-0
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
1.51 xG 0.45
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 0
459 Passes 285
90% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 4
11 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Rayo Zuliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira cruised past Rayo Zuliano 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 60% of the ball to Rayo Zuliano's 40%, shots finished 20-2, expected goals 1.51 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.00 for Rayo Zuliano.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Rayo Zuliano?

Deportivo La Guaira 4-0 Rayo Zuliano in the Venezuela - Premier League on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Rayo Zuliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 62%, draw 23%, Rayo Zuliano 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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