Hammarby 4-0 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 19 Jul 2026

📅19/07/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.22
Draw
15%
5.71
Away
8%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
19%
5.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.99
4-5 Goals
28%
2.54
6+ Goals
14%
5.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.43 — our 19% vs market 13.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.36
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
3%
23.1
X/1
26%
3.85
X/2
2%
23.95
X/X
5%
9.06
2/1
9%
21.8
2/2
3%
20.5
2/X
7%
27.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Hammarby win — 77%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
77%
-0.2pp
15%
Draw
14%
+0.9pp
8%
Away Win
8%
-0.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
2.39/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.95
+9% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
461 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
42.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.5 Crosses 16.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Degerfors
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.25 xG 1.22
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
487 Passes 274
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2025 Degerfors Degerfors 1-1 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
26.05.2025 Hammarby Hammarby 1-0 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
25.05.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 2-2 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
02.04.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 3-1 HT 1-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
22.08.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 5-1 HT 2-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
21.04.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 0-1 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
4-0
AWAY Degerfors
2.65 xG 0.35
22 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
602 Passes 296
39 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby ran out comfortable winners over Degerfors 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hammarby as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 2.65 to 0.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hammarby and 0.83 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs Degerfors?

Hammarby 4-0 Degerfors in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 19/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 77%, draw 15%, Degerfors 8%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby) ✓ Over 2.5
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