Elfsborg vs IK Sirius Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Elfsborg v IK Sirius — Team-Based Signals
Elfsborg vs IK Sirius Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
IK Sirius
İSÇ
Elfsborg 1-3 IK Sirius — Actual Match Statistics
IK Sirius saw off Elfsborg 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had IK Sirius as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 2.19 to 2.75.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Elfsborg and 2.17 for IK Sirius.
What was the final score of Elfsborg vs IK Sirius?
Elfsborg 1-3 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 19/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs IK Sirius?
Before kick-off our model rated an IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 31%, draw 25%, IK Sirius 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Sirius), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.