Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
0-0
HT 0-0
Arsenal Tula
RUS1
Neftekhimik edged past Arsenal Tula 1-0 away from home in the Russia - FNL on 19 Jul 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Arsenal Tula and 0.67 for Neftekhimik.
What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs Neftekhimik?
Arsenal Tula 0-1 Neftekhimik in the Russia - FNL on 19/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs Neftekhimik?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 48%, draw 28%, Neftekhimik 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arsenal Tula), BTTS Yes went the other way.