Morpeth Town 0-1 Lancaster City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 19 Aug 2025

📅19/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.77/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.34
+16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morpeth Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lancaster City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
22.03.2025 Lancaster City Lancaster City 0-0 HT 0-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
16.11.2024 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
16.03.2024 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
24.10.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 3-2 HT 1-1 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
04.03.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-1 HT 1-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
08.10.2022 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-3 Lancaster City Lancaster City FAK
POST-MATCH Morpeth Town vs Lancaster City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lancaster City edged past Morpeth Town 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Lancaster City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lancaster City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Morpeth Town and 1.67 for Lancaster City.

What was the final score of Morpeth Town vs Lancaster City?

Morpeth Town 0-1 Lancaster City in the England - Non League Premier on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morpeth Town vs Lancaster City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lancaster City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Morpeth Town 37%, draw 25%, Lancaster City 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lancaster City) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lancaster City) ✗ BTTS Yes
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