Morpeth Town 0-2 Lancaster City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -1%
1.55/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.45
+4% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morpeth Town
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Lancaster City
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
24.10.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 3-2 HT 1-1 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
04.03.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-1 HT 1-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
08.10.2022 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-3 Lancaster City Lancaster City FAK
27.09.2022 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 6-3 HT 3-1 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
22.03.2022 Lancaster City Lancaster City 1-0 HT 1-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Morpeth Town
0-2
AWAY Lancaster City
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Morpeth Town vs Lancaster City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lancaster City got the better of Morpeth Town 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Lancaster City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Morpeth Town had 50% of the ball to Lancaster City's 50%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lancaster City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Morpeth Town and 2.00 for Lancaster City.

What was the final score of Morpeth Town vs Lancaster City?

Morpeth Town 0-2 Lancaster City in the England - Non League Premier on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morpeth Town vs Lancaster City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Morpeth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Morpeth Town 38%, draw 25%, Lancaster City 37%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Morpeth Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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