Lancaster City 0-0 Morpeth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
40%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+10.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.5pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +37%
1.43/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.42
-11% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lancaster City
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Morpeth Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
53% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
16.03.2024 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
24.10.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 3-2 HT 1-1 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
04.03.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-1 HT 1-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
08.10.2022 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-3 Lancaster City Lancaster City FAK
27.09.2022 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 6-3 HT 3-1 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lancaster City and Morpeth Town played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lancaster City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lancaster City and 2.17 for Morpeth Town.

What was the final score of Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town?

Lancaster City 0-0 Morpeth Town in the England - Non League Premier on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Morpeth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lancaster City 38%, draw 22%, Morpeth Town 40%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Morpeth Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Morpeth Town) ✓ Under 2.5
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