Mazatlan 0-0 Necaxa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 19 Sep 2024

Mazatlan
0-0 HT 0-0
Necaxa
📅19/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Mazatlan vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.35
6+ Goals
13%
12.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.35 — our 27% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.0pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mazatlan v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Necaxa EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.65/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.35
+2% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
16.9 Crosses 15.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Mazatlan vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mazatlan
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Necaxa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.99 xG 1.45
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
327 Passes 257
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Mazatlan Mazatlan 2-1 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
06.11.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 4-0 HT 2-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
18.03.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 0-1 HT 0-1 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
24.09.2022 Necaxa Necaxa 2-2 HT 1-2 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
02.03.2022 Mazatlan Mazatlan 0-0 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
30.10.2021 Necaxa Necaxa 2-1 HT 1-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK

Mazatlan 0-0 Necaxa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mazatlan
0-0
AWAY Necaxa
1.06 xG 0.16
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
396 Passes 204
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mazatlan vs Necaxa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mazatlan and Necaxa played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Mazatlan at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mazatlan had 63% of the ball to Necaxa's 37%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.06 to 0.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Necaxa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mazatlan and 1.67 for Necaxa.

What was the final score of Mazatlan vs Necaxa?

Mazatlan 0-0 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mazatlan vs Necaxa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mazatlan win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mazatlan 48%, draw 25%, Necaxa 27%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mazatlan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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