Monterrey 3-2 FC Juarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.79
6+ Goals
13%
7.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-10.9pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.8pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterrey EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.92/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.50
-2% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
20.3 Crosses 16.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterrey
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Juarez
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.71 xG 0.75
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
406 Passes 296
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-3 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
08.10.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 3-1 HT 2-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
05.03.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
10.09.2022 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-1 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
16.03.2022 Monterrey Monterrey 3-0 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
02.10.2021 FC Juarez FC Juarez 3-1 HT 2-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterrey
3-2
AWAY FC Juarez
2.67 xG 2.12
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
322 Passes 248
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Monterrey vs FC Juarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey nicked a narrow win over FC Juarez 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Monterrey had 55% of the ball to FC Juarez's 45%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.67 to 2.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Monterrey and 0.67 for FC Juarez.

What was the final score of Monterrey vs FC Juarez?

Monterrey 3-2 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterrey vs FC Juarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 55%, draw 25%, FC Juarez 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monterrey) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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