Bayreuth 0-3 Greuther Fürth II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +32%
1.40/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/0.34
-10% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
324 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.8 Crosses 18.0
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayreuth
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Greuther Fürth II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
09.03.2025 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 3-1 HT 2-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
30.08.2024 Bayreuth Bayreuth 1-0 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
06.04.2024 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-1 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
22.09.2023 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-2 HT 1-2 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
06.11.2021 Bayreuth Bayreuth 4-0 HT 2-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
23.07.2021 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-5 HT 0-3 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bayreuth vs Greuther Fürth II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth II ran out comfortable winners over Bayreuth 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Greuther Fürth II made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayreuth had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bayreuth and 0.83 for Greuther Fürth II.

What was the final score of Bayreuth vs Greuther Fürth II?

Bayreuth 0-3 Greuther Fürth II in the Germany - Regional League on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayreuth vs Greuther Fürth II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bayreuth 39%, draw 26%, Greuther Fürth II 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bayreuth), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayreuth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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