ADO Den Haag vs Almere City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ADO Den Haag v Almere City — Team-Based Signals
ADO Den Haag vs Almere City Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-1
Almere City
HOL2
4-1
HT 1-1
ADO Den Haag
HOL2
1-0
HT 0-0
Almere City
HOL2
1-3
HT 1-2
ADO Den Haag
HOL2
1-1
HT 0-1
ADO Den Haag
HOK
ADO Den Haag 2-1 Almere City — Actual Match Statistics
ADO Den Haag squeezed past Almere City 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%) came in.
On the day, ADO Den Haag had 66% of the ball to Almere City's 34%, shots finished 28-6, expected goals 1.44 to 0.16 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold ADO Den Haag's control.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for ADO Den Haag and 1.80 for Almere City.
What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs Almere City?
ADO Den Haag 2-1 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs Almere City?
Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 60%, draw 18%, Almere City 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.