FC Eindhoven 3-4 FC Oss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.93
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.89
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
14%
5.11
X/2
6%
6.83
X/X
11%
5.25
2/1
8%
22.35
2/2
15%
4.52
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.7pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Oss EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
1.61/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.13
-10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
20.9 Crosses 20.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Oss
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.50 xG 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
370 Passes 321
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
07.02.2025 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
22.09.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 0-4 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
05.04.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
27.11.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
02.11.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOK
17.02.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
3-4
AWAY FC Oss
1.16 xG 1.42
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 0
291 Passes 424
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs FC Oss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Oss edged past FC Eindhoven 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Eindhoven at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 43% of the ball to FC Oss's 57%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.16 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Eindhoven and 0.67 for FC Oss.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs FC Oss?

FC Eindhoven 3-4 FC Oss in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs FC Oss?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 47%, draw 24%, FC Oss 29%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Eindhoven) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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