FC Eindhoven 3-0 FC Oss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
34%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 30% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.32
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
18%
4.32
X/2
10%
8.89
X/X
7%
4.94
2/1
6%
23.4
2/2 EV+ ✗
19%
7.01
2/X
8%
15.15
Value flag · 2/2 at 7.01 — our 19% vs market 10.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
34%
Away Win
22%
+12.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Oss EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.51/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.42
-7% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
383 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
22.5 Crosses 18.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Oss
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.34 xG 0.87
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
367 Passes 298
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 0-4 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
05.04.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
27.11.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
02.11.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOK
17.02.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
14.10.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
3-0
AWAY FC Oss
1.60 xG 0.14
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
293 Passes 426
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs FC Oss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Eindhoven swept aside FC Oss 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 43% of the ball to FC Oss's 57%, shots finished 8-4, expected goals 1.60 to 0.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Eindhoven and 0.83 for FC Oss.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs FC Oss?

FC Eindhoven 3-0 FC Oss in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs FC Oss?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 44%, draw 22%, FC Oss 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Eindhoven), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Eindhoven) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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