Roda vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roda v AZ Alkmaar II — Team-Based Signals
Roda vs AZ Alkmaar II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
2-0
HT 1-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
2-0
HT 2-0
Roda
HOL2
0-1
HT 0-0
Roda
HOL2
Roda 3-3 AZ Alkmaar II — Actual Match Statistics
Roda and AZ Alkmaar II couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Roda had 52% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 48%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.86 to 1.05.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Roda and 1.67 for AZ Alkmaar II.
What was the final score of Roda vs AZ Alkmaar II?
Roda 3-3 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roda vs AZ Alkmaar II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Roda 39%, draw 27%, AZ Alkmaar II 34%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roda) went the other way.