Volendam 1-2 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒22:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.95
2-3 Goals
36%
1.93
4-5 Goals
27%
2.58
6+ Goals
14%
6.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.62
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
7%
12.05
X/1
11%
5.17
X/2
9%
7.74
X/X
11%
5.79
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.75
2/2
16%
4.9
2/X
10%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.75 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.8pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +18%
1.50/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.35
+7% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
20.6 Crosses 17.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
0W-1D-5L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.72 xG 1.93
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
299 Passes 322
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.08.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2
18.03.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2
13.08.2021 Volendam Volendam 1-3 HT 1-2 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
25.01.2009 Volendam Volendam 0-1 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
17.10.2008 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-0 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
29.02.2004 Volendam Volendam 0-2 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
1-2
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.33 xG 0.88
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
263 Passes 187
75% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Volendam vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag edged past Volendam 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day ADO Den Haag made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Volendam had 55% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 45%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.33 to 0.88 — the balance of chances actually favoured Volendam.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Volendam and 1.83 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of Volendam vs ADO Den Haag?

Volendam 1-2 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volendam win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Volendam 40%, draw 28%, ADO Den Haag 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Volendam) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Volendam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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