ADO Den Haag 2-1 Volendam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
30%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.85
2-3 Goals
37%
2.05
4-5 Goals
27%
2.6
6+ Goals
13%
5.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1.83
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.1
X/1
20%
3.99
X/2
13%
12.0
X/X
9%
7.2
2/1
8%
19.1
2/2
10%
8.03
2/X
10%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
63%
-16.7pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.5pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+12.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Volendam EU Bookmakers 21%
-14% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +21%
1.59/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.59
-5% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
432 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
24.2 Crosses 13.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Volendam
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.51 xG 0.78
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
321 Passes 328
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.03.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2
13.08.2021 Volendam Volendam 1-3 HT 1-2 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
25.01.2009 Volendam Volendam 0-1 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
17.10.2008 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-0 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
29.02.2004 Volendam Volendam 0-2 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
12.09.2003 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 1-1 Volendam Volendam HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
2-1
AWAY Volendam
2.77 xG 0.61
56% Ball Possession 44%
24 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
325 Passes 240
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
36 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs Volendam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag squeezed past Volendam 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 56% of the ball to Volendam's 44%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 2.77 to 0.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold ADO Den Haag's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for ADO Den Haag and 0.50 for Volendam.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs Volendam?

ADO Den Haag 2-1 Volendam in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs Volendam?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 46%, draw 24%, Volendam 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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