Emmen 0-0 Helmond Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.09
6+ Goals
9%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 26% vs market 19.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.35
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
17%
4.35
X/2
12%
8.62
X/X
13%
5.27
2/1
6%
22.3
2/2
9%
6.11
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -14%
1.73/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.28
-14% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
24.1 Crosses 16.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Helmond Sport
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.52 xG 1.01
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
398 Passes 343
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
29.04.2024 Emmen Emmen 3-0 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
24.11.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-2 HT 0-2 Emmen Emmen HOL2
01.03.2022 Emmen Emmen 1-2 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
03.09.2021 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-0 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
16.03.2018 Emmen Emmen 0-0 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
03.11.2017 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 3-1 HT 1-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
0-0
AWAY Helmond Sport
1.32 xG 0.49
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
505 Passes 247
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 4
24 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Emmen vs Helmond Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen and Helmond Sport fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Emmen at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Emmen had 64% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 36%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 1.32 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Helmond Sport led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Emmen and 1.17 for Helmond Sport.

What was the final score of Emmen vs Helmond Sport?

Emmen 0-0 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs Helmond Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Emmen 45%, draw 27%, Helmond Sport 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Emmen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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