Willem II vs Ajax II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Willem II v Ajax II — Team-Based Signals
Willem II vs Ajax II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Willem II
HOL2
2-1
HT 2-1
Ajax II
HOL2
1-2
HT 1-0
Willem II
HOL2
7-1
HT 4-1
Ajax II
HOL2
1-1
HT 1-0
Willem II
HOL2
Willem II 1-0 Ajax II — Actual Match Statistics
Willem II edged past Ajax II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Willem II as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Willem II had 49% of the ball to Ajax II's 51%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.42 to 0.66.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Willem II and 1.00 for Ajax II.
What was the final score of Willem II vs Ajax II?
Willem II 1-0 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Willem II vs Ajax II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Willem II 57%, draw 21%, Ajax II 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Willem II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.