Aluminij vs Maribor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aluminij v Maribor — Team-Based Signals
Aluminij vs Maribor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Maribor
SLVN
1-0
HT 0-0
Aluminij
SLVN
3-1
HT 0-1
Aluminij
SLVN
Aluminij 2-3 Maribor — Actual Match Statistics
Maribor edged past Aluminij 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maribor as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Aluminij had 60% of the ball to Maribor's 40%, shots finished 16-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Aluminij and 2.50 for Maribor.
What was the final score of Aluminij vs Maribor?
Aluminij 2-3 Maribor in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aluminij vs Maribor?
Before kick-off our model rated an Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 16%, draw 24%, Maribor 60%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.