Al-Qadsiah 2-1 Al Khaleej — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.73
6+ Goals
11%
7.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
56%
+1.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
1.68/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.51
-26% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
26.6 Crosses 15.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Qadsiah
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Khaleej
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
2.52 xG 0.47
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
376 Passes 242
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 15
35 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2025 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-1 HT 1-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
29.11.2024 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
11.03.2017 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 2-1 HT 0-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
15.12.2015 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-0 HT 0-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al-Qadsiah
2-1
AWAY Al Khaleej
0.93 xG 0.95
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
451 Passes 325
92% Pass Accuracy 89%
21 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 29
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al-Qadsiah vs Al Khaleej
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qadsiah nicked a narrow win over Al Khaleej 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al-Qadsiah as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al-Qadsiah had 56% of the ball to Al Khaleej's 44%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.93 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Al-Qadsiah and 0.75 for Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Al-Qadsiah vs Al Khaleej?

Al-Qadsiah 2-1 Al Khaleej in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Khaleej?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al-Qadsiah 58%, draw 22%, Al Khaleej 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Qadsiah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
19 Sep 2025
18:35 Al Fayha vs Al Shabab Riyadh Analysis →
21:00 Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh Analysis →