Al Ahli Jeddah 3-3 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.43
Over 2.5
59%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.89
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.56
6+ Goals
14%
6.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.6pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.83/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.43
+57% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
307 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 81%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
17.8 Crosses 19.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.54 xG 1.62
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
227 Passes 305
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2025 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-3 HT 1-2 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah AŞMP
28.02.2025 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-3 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
05.10.2024 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
13.08.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUSK
06.05.2024 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
27.10.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
3-3
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
1.52 xG 1.96
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 2
386 Passes 237
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
38 Box Touches 15
32 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah and Al Hilal Riyadh shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 59% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 41%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 1.52 to 1.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 1.83 for Al Hilal Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Ahli Jeddah 3-3 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 38%, draw 22%, Al Hilal Riyadh 40%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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