Hebei Kungfu 3-2 Yunnan Yukun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.75
Over
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2.99
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
23%
3.9
6+
10%
17.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
14%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebei Kungfu The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunnan Yukun The Market 48%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.68/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/1.07
-17% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
19.7 Crosses 17.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebei Kungfu
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.98 xG 1.85
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
280 Passes 189
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.06.2024 Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 4-1 HT 2-0 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebei Kungfu
3-2
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
1.42 xG 0.64
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
209 Passes 179
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hebei Kungfu vs Yunnan Yukun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hebei Kungfu nicked a narrow win over Yunnan Yukun 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Yunnan Yukun at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hebei Kungfu had 52% of the ball to Yunnan Yukun's 48%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.42 to 0.64.

What was the final score of Hebei Kungfu vs Yunnan Yukun?

Hebei Kungfu 3-2 Yunnan Yukun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebei Kungfu vs Yunnan Yukun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hebei Kungfu 31%, draw 28%, Yunnan Yukun 41%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yunnan Yukun), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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