AFC Totton 1-1 Gloucester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.91
Over
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
40%
4-5
19%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Totton The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gloucester City The Market 29%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+24% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH AFC Totton vs Gloucester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton and Gloucester City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Totton at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of AFC Totton vs Gloucester City?

AFC Totton 1-1 Gloucester City in the England - Non League Premier on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Totton vs Gloucester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split AFC Totton 46%, draw 27%, Gloucester City 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AFC Totton), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Totton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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