Frome Town 2-3 Poole Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
35%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.95
Over Pick
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
39%
4-5
22%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
26%
+15.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
49%
-13.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frome Town The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Poole Town The Market 53%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.00/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.17
-23% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frome Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Poole Town
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2021 Frome Town Frome Town 3-2 Poole Town Poole Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frome Town
2-3
AWAY Poole Town
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 12
POST-MATCH Frome Town vs Poole Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Poole Town nicked a narrow win over Frome Town 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Frome Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Frome Town had 42% of the ball to Poole Town's 58%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Frome Town vs Poole Town?

Frome Town 2-3 Poole Town in the England - Non League Premier on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frome Town vs Poole Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frome Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Frome Town 42%, draw 23%, Poole Town 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Frome Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Frome Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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