Harborough Town 1-2 AFC Telford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 19 Oct 2024

Harborough Town
1-2 HT 0-1
AFC Telford United
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

Harborough Town vs AFC Telford United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
42%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.95
Over
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No Pick
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
41%
4-5
24%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.7pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+6.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.4pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Harborough Town v AFC Telford United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harborough Town The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Telford United The Market 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.50/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.32
-5% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.6
POST-MATCH Harborough Town vs AFC Telford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United squeezed past Harborough Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AFC Telford United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Harborough Town vs AFC Telford United?

Harborough Town 1-2 AFC Telford United in the England - Non League Premier on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harborough Town vs AFC Telford United?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Harborough Town 36%, draw 22%, AFC Telford United 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Telford United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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