Hitchin Town 1-5 Stourbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
44%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
1.97
Over
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
41%
4-5
26%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
25%
Home Win
24%
+0.9pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.8pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-8.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hitchin Town The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Stourbridge The Market 56%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.27/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.88
-2% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +23%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hitchin Town
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Stourbridge
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
28.11.2023 Stourbridge Stourbridge 0-2 HT 0-1 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town İNGNLP
11.02.2023 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
24.09.2022 Stourbridge Stourbridge 3-0 HT 2-0 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town İNGNLP
11.12.2021 Stourbridge Stourbridge 0-4 HT 0-3 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town İNGNLP
02.10.2021 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Hitchin Town vs Stourbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stourbridge swept aside Hitchin Town 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stourbridge as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Hitchin Town and 1.40 for Stourbridge.

What was the final score of Hitchin Town vs Stourbridge?

Hitchin Town 1-5 Stourbridge in the England - Non League Premier on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hitchin Town vs Stourbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hitchin Town 25%, draw 32%, Stourbridge 44%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stourbridge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stourbridge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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