Stamford 3-2 Bromsgrove Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.0pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.4pp
18%
Away Win
22%
-3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stamford EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
2.14/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.36
+15% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stamford
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
23.12.2023 Stamford Stamford 2-2 HT 1-2 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
26.08.2023 Bromsgrove Sporting 0-2 HT 0-1 Stamford Stamford İNGNLP
03.09.2022 Bromsgrove Sporting 4-3 HT 3-1 Stamford Stamford FAK
POST-MATCH Stamford vs Bromsgrove Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stamford squeezed past Bromsgrove Sporting 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stamford as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Stamford and 2.00 for Bromsgrove Sporting.

What was the final score of Stamford vs Bromsgrove Sporting?

Stamford 3-2 Bromsgrove Sporting in the England - Non League Premier on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stamford vs Bromsgrove Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stamford win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Stamford 50%, draw 31%, Bromsgrove Sporting 18%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stamford), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stamford) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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