Winchester City 2-1 Walton & Hersham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
51%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.43
Over Pick
61%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
38%
4-5
31%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
23%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.8pp
18%
Draw
25%
-6.5pp
51%
Away Win
43%
+7.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.2pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winchester City The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Walton & Hersham The Market 48%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.45/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.55
+2% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winchester City
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Walton & Hersham
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2024 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham 3-1 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
28.11.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 2-1 HT 1-1 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham İNGNLP
19.09.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 2-0 HT 2-0 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham İNGNLP
05.08.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 2-0 HT 2-0 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Winchester City vs Walton & Hersham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winchester City edged past Walton & Hersham 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Walton & Hersham at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Winchester City had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Winchester City and 1.00 for Walton & Hersham.

What was the final score of Winchester City vs Walton & Hersham?

Winchester City 2-1 Walton & Hersham in the England - Non League Premier on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winchester City vs Walton & Hersham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Walton & Hersham win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Winchester City 31%, draw 18%, Walton & Hersham 51%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Walton & Hersham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walton & Hersham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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