Worksop Town 2-4 Hebburn Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 19 Oct 2024

Worksop Town
2-4 HT 2-3
Hebburn Town
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

Worksop Town vs Hebburn Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.33
Over Pick
62%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
35%
4-5
30%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 62% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.5pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
13%
+12.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
39%
-1.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
61%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.4pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Worksop Town v Hebburn Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worksop Town The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebburn Town The Market 16%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.71/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
+22% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -46%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Worksop Town vs Hebburn Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hebburn Town saw off Worksop Town 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Worksop Town carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Worksop Town vs Hebburn Town?

Worksop Town 2-4 Hebburn Town in the England - Non League Premier on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worksop Town vs Hebburn Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Worksop Town 57%, draw 19%, Hebburn Town 25%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Worksop Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Worksop Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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