Amorebieta 3-3 Unionistas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.77
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Unionistas EU Bookmakers 42%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.07/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.26
-6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
220 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amorebieta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Unionistas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
01.11.2019 Amorebieta Amorebieta 1-3 HT 0-1 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
POST-MATCH Amorebieta vs Unionistas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amorebieta and Unionistas couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Amorebieta vs Unionistas?

Amorebieta 3-3 Unionistas in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amorebieta vs Unionistas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amorebieta win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Amorebieta 35%, draw 30%, Unionistas 35%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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