Algeciras 2-0 Ceuta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.99
6+ Goals
9%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.7pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.5pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algeciras EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.06/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.52
+1% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algeciras
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Ceuta
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Ceuta Ceuta 3-2 HT 2-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
21.10.2023 Algeciras Algeciras 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
12.02.2023 Algeciras Algeciras 1-2 HT 1-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
02.10.2022 Ceuta Ceuta 1-3 HT 1-2 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algeciras
2-0
AWAY Ceuta
53% Ball Possession 47%
4 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Algeciras vs Ceuta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Algeciras beat Ceuta 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Algeciras made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Algeciras had 53% of the ball to Ceuta's 47%, shots finished 4-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Algeciras and 1.50 for Ceuta.

What was the final score of Algeciras vs Ceuta?

Algeciras 2-0 Ceuta in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algeciras vs Ceuta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Algeciras 34%, draw 31%, Ceuta 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ceuta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceuta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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