Ponferradina 1-1 Barcelona II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.0
6+ Goals
9%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+9.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.5pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona II EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
0.74/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.23
-16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 14.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ponferradina
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Barcelona II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
273 Passes 466
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2024 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-3 HT 1-1 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS3
17.12.2023 Barcelona II Barcelona II 1-1 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
25.04.2015 Barcelona II Barcelona II 2-1 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
22.11.2014 Ponferradina Ponferradina 4-4 HT 1-3 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS2
09.03.2014 Barcelona II Barcelona II 1-0 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
06.10.2013 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponferradina
1-1
AWAY Barcelona II
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ponferradina vs Barcelona II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponferradina and Barcelona II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ponferradina at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ponferradina had 53% of the ball to Barcelona II's 47%, shots finished 18-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ponferradina and 1.83 for Barcelona II.

What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Barcelona II?

Ponferradina 1-1 Barcelona II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Barcelona II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 43%, draw 26%, Barcelona II 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ponferradina), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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