Ponferradina 1-3 Barcelona II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
5.8
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.4pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona II EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.23/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.57
-10% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
247 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ponferradina
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Barcelona II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
273 Passes 466
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 Barcelona II Barcelona II 1-1 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
25.04.2015 Barcelona II Barcelona II 2-1 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
22.11.2014 Ponferradina Ponferradina 4-4 HT 1-3 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS2
09.03.2014 Barcelona II Barcelona II 1-0 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
06.10.2013 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS2
16.02.2013 Ponferradina Ponferradina 3-2 HT 1-1 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponferradina
1-3
AWAY Barcelona II
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ponferradina vs Barcelona II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona II beat Ponferradina 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ponferradina at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ponferradina had 40% of the ball to Barcelona II's 60%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ponferradina and 1.67 for Barcelona II.

What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Barcelona II?

Ponferradina 1-3 Barcelona II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Barcelona II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 41%, draw 28%, Barcelona II 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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