Celta Vigo II 4-0 SD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.29
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.01
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 25% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
73%
-15.9pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.9pp
18%
Away Win
9%
+8.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY SD Logrones EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
2.70/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.45
+54% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +17%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
413 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 194 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo II
2W-1D-1L
AWAY SD Logrones
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 SD Logrones SD Logrones 2-3 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
28.05.2022 SD Logrones SD Logrones 1-1 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
09.01.2022 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 3-2 HT 0-1 SD Logrones SD Logrones İS3
09.03.2014 SD Logrones SD Logrones 1-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo II
4-0
AWAY SD Logrones
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo II vs SD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II ran out comfortable winners over SD Logrones 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celta Vigo II as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Celta Vigo II had 60% of the ball to SD Logrones's 40%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Celta Vigo II and 1.50 for SD Logrones.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo II vs SD Logrones?

Celta Vigo II 4-0 SD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo II vs SD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo II 57%, draw 25%, SD Logrones 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo II), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✓ BTTS No
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