Osasuna II 2-1 Real Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.35
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 33% vs market 31.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Union EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -13%
1.50/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.27
+11% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna II
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Real Union
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Real Union Real Union 2-3 HT 1-2 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
12.03.2023 Osasuna II Osasuna II 4-2 HT 1-1 Real Union Real Union İS3
11.12.2022 Real Union Real Union 1-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
09.05.2021 Real Union Real Union 0-1 HT 0-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
09.02.2020 Real Union Real Union 1-1 HT 1-1 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
21.09.2019 Osasuna II Osasuna II 4-2 HT 3-0 Real Union Real Union İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna II
2-1
AWAY Real Union
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Osasuna II vs Real Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna II squeezed past Real Union 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Osasuna II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osasuna II had 40% of the ball to Real Union's 60%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna II had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Osasuna II and 1.33 for Real Union.

What was the final score of Osasuna II vs Real Union?

Osasuna II 2-1 Real Union in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna II vs Real Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Osasuna II 42%, draw 28%, Real Union 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osasuna II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Osasuna II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
27 Apr 2024
17:00 Ponferradina vs Barcelona II Analysis →
17:00 Unionistas vs Sabadell Analysis →
17:30 Celta Vigo II vs SD Logrones Analysis →
19:00 Fuenlabrada vs Teruel Analysis →
19:00 Lugo vs Rayo Majadahonda Analysis →
19:00 San Fernando vs Real Madrid II Analysis →