27/04/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Unionistas vs Sabadell Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
27%
Draw
31%
30%
Away Win
27%
57%
Under 2.5
62%
43%
Over 2.5
38%
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
54%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Unionistas v Sabadell — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Unionistas
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sabadell
EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+2% /
-3%
1.30/0.94
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.06/1.45
+4%
/
+1%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+12%
/
-15%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
310 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
268 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
5.0
2.2
Yellow Cards
2.4
Unionistas vs Sabadell Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Unionistas
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Sabadell
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
49%
Ball Possession
51%
2
Total Shots
10
2
Shots on Target
4
2
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
0
The Meetings
09.12.2023
Sabadell
1-0
HT 0-0
Unionistas
İS3
1-0
HT 0-0
Unionistas
İS3
POST-MATCH
Unionistas vs Sabadell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Unionistas ran out comfortable winners over Sabadell 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Unionistas as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Unionistas vs Sabadell?
Unionistas 4-0 Sabadell in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Unionistas vs Sabadell?
Before kick-off our model rated a Unionistas win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Unionistas 43%, draw 27%, Sabadell 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Unionistas), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Unionistas)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İS3
More Spain - 2nd Division B
27 Apr 2024