Lugo 3-1 Rayo Majadahonda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.13
No
49%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.65
6+ Goals
11%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
55%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
43%
+8.5pp
49%
BTTS No
57%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugo EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -5%
1.31/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.52
-19% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugo
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 1.70
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
286 Passes 356
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2023 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda 1-2 HT 0-0 Lugo Lugo İS3
26.01.2019 Lugo Lugo 3-2 HT 2-0 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda İS2
10.09.2018 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda 1-0 HT 1-0 Lugo Lugo İS2
POST-MATCH Lugo vs Rayo Majadahonda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugo beat Rayo Majadahonda 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lugo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lugo had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lugo and 1.33 for Rayo Majadahonda.

What was the final score of Lugo vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Lugo 3-1 Rayo Majadahonda in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugo vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lugo 47%, draw 27%, Rayo Majadahonda 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lugo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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