San Fernando 1-3 Real Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.67
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.39
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Fernando EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
1.03/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.46
-18% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Fernando
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Real Madrid II
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 2-1 HT 0-0 San Fernando San Fernando İS3
25.02.2023 San Fernando San Fernando 3-2 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
20.11.2022 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 2-0 HT 2-0 San Fernando San Fernando İS3
20.02.2022 San Fernando San Fernando 3-1 HT 1-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
04.09.2021 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 4-0 HT 2-0 San Fernando San Fernando İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Fernando
1-3
AWAY Real Madrid II
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Fernando vs Real Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid II beat San Fernando 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Real Madrid II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, San Fernando had 56% of the ball to Real Madrid II's 44%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Real Madrid II led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for San Fernando and 2.20 for Real Madrid II.

What was the final score of San Fernando vs Real Madrid II?

San Fernando 1-3 Real Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Fernando vs Real Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Fernando win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Fernando 40%, draw 29%, Real Madrid II 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (San Fernando) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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