Sorrento Calcio 0-3 Benevento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.67
Over
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.67
2-3
36%
1.77
4-5
18%
4.39
6+
10%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.67 — our 36% vs market 31.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-8.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sorrento Calcio The Market 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Benevento The Market 56%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.60/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.59
-37% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +66%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
214 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sorrento Calcio
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Benevento
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2024 Benevento Benevento 4-0 HT 0-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
21.10.2023 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 0-1 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sorrento Calcio
0-3
AWAY Benevento
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sorrento Calcio vs Benevento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento swept aside Sorrento Calcio 3-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Benevento as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Sorrento Calcio had 55% of the ball to Benevento's 45%, shots finished 15-16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Benevento led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sorrento Calcio and 2.50 for Benevento.

What was the final score of Sorrento Calcio vs Benevento?

Sorrento Calcio 0-3 Benevento in the Italy - Serie C on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sorrento Calcio vs Benevento?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sorrento Calcio 30%, draw 27%, Benevento 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benevento), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benevento) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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