Torre Neapolis 2-0 SSC Giugliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.74
Over
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.92
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5
22%
4.0
6+
8%
18.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torre Neapolis The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Giugliano The Market 49%
+6% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.17/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torre Neapolis
0W-0D-4L
AWAY SSC Giugliano
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2024 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 2-1 HT 1-0 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
29.10.2023 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 0-1 HT 0-1 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
29.01.2023 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis 0-2 HT 0-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
24.09.2022 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 4-1 HT 2-1 Torre Neapolis Torre Neapolis İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torre Neapolis
2-0
AWAY SSC Giugliano
76% Ball Possession 24%
3 Total Shots 0
2 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Torre Neapolis vs SSC Giugliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torre Neapolis beat SSC Giugliano 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was SSC Giugliano at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Torre Neapolis had 76% of the ball to SSC Giugliano's 24%, shots finished 3-0.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, SSC Giugliano led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Torre Neapolis and 2.25 for SSC Giugliano.

What was the final score of Torre Neapolis vs SSC Giugliano?

Torre Neapolis 2-0 SSC Giugliano in the Italy - Serie C on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torre Neapolis vs SSC Giugliano?

Before kick-off our model rated an SSC Giugliano win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Torre Neapolis 32%, draw 27%, SSC Giugliano 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (SSC Giugliano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SSC Giugliano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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